Czech Republic Business Forecast Report Q4 2014 - New Report Available

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Tue Oct 14 2014

Core Views

* We have revised down our forecast for inflation in the Czech Republic, and readjusted our expectation for monetary policy trajectory. We now expect the Czech National Bank to target a weaker koruna in the coming months, as deflationary risks mount and ECB easing looms over the horizon.
* The ongoing debate in the Czech Republic over civil service reform will result in only modest modifications to the status quo by end-2014. This will darken public perceptions of the government's ability and willingness to address structural deficiencies of the state administration.
* We reiterate our view that the country will continue to post modest current account deficits for the foreseeable future. The country's status as a regional safe haven will ensure that stable financial inflows continue to cover the country's external financing needs.

Major Forecast Changes

* Following the Czech Statistical Office's latest revision of the Q114 real GDP growth print, we have revised upward our forecast to 2.4% from 1.8% previously. Nevertheless, we reiterate our expectation for the momentum behind the export-led recovery in the Czech Republic will abate somewhat in H214, on the back of a slowdown in German export growth.

Full Report Details at

Risks To Outlook

* A more pronounced slowdown in eurozone economic growth and in particular in Germany would have a negative effect on the Czech Republic's economic growth trajectory. Owing to the high degree of trade integration with Germany, the Czech Republic's economic recovery remains highly dependent on external demand remaining relatively receptive to Czech exports.

The Czech Republic Business Forecast Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in Czech Republic and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of Czech Republic's economic, political and financial prospects through end-2018, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International (BMI).

Key Uses

* Forecast the pace and stability of Czech Republic's economic and industry growth through end-2018.
* Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.
* Assess the critical shortcomings of the business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.
* Contextualise Czech Republic's country risks against regional peers using BMI's country comparative Risk Rankings system.
* Evaluate external threats to doing business in Czech Republic, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies.

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Contact Name: Bill Thompson
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