Market Report, "China Agribusiness Report Q3 2014", published

China's weight in the global agricultural sector is growing, as the country has an increasing impact on international production balances and prices. China will maintain a strong appetite for key commodities, and we highlight in particular the growth potential for sugar, dairy and meat products. High demand growth, strong government support and potential for investment and consolidation in these industries will help them outperform in the coming years. However, the agribusiness sector is going through challenging times, with GDP slowing, consumer trust in food safety dwindling, food ingredient prices rising, labour costs soaring and bank loan requirements for small-sized enterprises tightening. This is best seen in the probe led by the government into foreign dairy companies' price-fixing schemes, which led to a record fine for top producers.

Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/829912_china_agribusiness_report_q3_2014.aspx?afid=303

Key Forecasts

* Corn production growth to 2017/18: 18.0% to 242.6mn tonnes. Output expansion will be driven by a steady improvement in corn yields, the probable adoption of GM corn in the coming years and sustained public support.
* Pork consumption growth to 2018: 21.6% to 65.4mn tonnes. Pork will remain the meat of choice for Chinese consumers and consumption will be driven by revenue growth. Demand is likely to remain resilient despite the slowdown in the economy.
* Sugar production growth to 2017/18: 8.9% to 15.2mn tonnes. Production will be supported by improving yields and soaring domestic demand.
* BMI universe agribusiness market value: USD 538.8mn in 2014 (up 0.8% compared with 2013, growth forecast to average 4.4% annually between 2014 and 2018).
* 2014 real GDP growth: 7.1% (down from 7.7% in 2013, forecast to average 6.1% between 2014 and 2018).
* 2014 consumer price inflation: 2.6% y-o-y ave (same than in 2013, forecast to average 2.7% between 2014 and 2018).
* 2014 central bank policy rate: 6.00%...

The China Agribusiness Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts for production, consumption and trade across core agricultural commodities.

BMI's China Agribusiness Report includes independent commodity price forecasting and analysis for key agricultural outputs, an overview of the agribusiness competitive landscape and a discussion of the downstream context of agricultural production in relation to country food consumption forecasts and composite food and beverage trade forecasts.

Key Benefits

* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts to test other views - a key input for successful planning in dynamic agribusiness markets.
* Apply BMI's medium-term commodity price analysis to assist with budgetary planning and the identification of investment opportunities and potential risks.
* Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients.

Coverage



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