New Market Report: Uganda Defence & Security Report Q4 2014

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Tue Nov 18 2014

In recent years, the size of the Uganda People's Defence Force (UPDF) and the country's arms procurement have grown significantly, a trend BMI expect to continue over the forecast period. This primarily reflects the growing role of the army in Uganda's domestic political landscape, which we attribute to Museveni's increasing domestic political isolation, as well as the need to maintain the country's status as a strategic ally of the US. As such, we expect imports to Uganda, which lacks its own military-industrial base, from Russia and China in particular, to steadily increase for the foreseeable future.

A key driver behind Uganda's continued desire to maintain its arms capability is its continued military involvement in South Sudan. Following the breaking out of fighting in Juba in December 2013, Uganda intervened, deploying two battalions into the country. Uganda Peoples' Defence Force (UPDF) spokesperson has stated that the army's mission is primarily to protect key installations and to ease safe evacuation of the Uganda nationals in South Sudan. However, BMI believes that Uganda's decision to deploy its military in South Sudan is less a benevolent act and more an assertion of its increasing regional dominance.

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Uganda has assumed the role of a regional military power: its forces participate in peacekeeping operations and military interventions in Somalia, Sudan and elsewhere. Uganda's military capabilities play an important part in addressing Kampala's strategic interests. We expect that Uganda's involvement in these conflicts will drive the gradual expansion of the country's nascent defence sector, which is currently restricted to one ammunition company.

That said, Uganda has long relied on weapons imports from both Russia and China to fuel a regional strategy based on an enduring ability to intervene militarily in its neighbours' disputes and to sometimes act as a regional arbiter. We expect this reliance to continue: Russia offers a cheaper alternative to...

The Uganda Defence & Security Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent forecasts for national and international security, the defence industry, military expenditure, employment in arms production, and arms imports and exports, as well as examining industry trends and prospects, national and multinational arms producers and the regulatory environment.

BMI's Uganda Defence & Security Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and regional competitive intelligence on the Ugandan defence and security industry.

Key Benefits

* Benchmark BMI's independent defence and security industry forecasts on Uganda to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and strategic business planning in the Ugandan defence and security market.

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