Denmark Telecommunications Report Q3 2014 - New Market Report

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Wed Jul 30 2014

The Danish telecommunications market is highly mature and increasingly focused around value-added premium services. Most notably, while the broadband market is growing steadily on the back of demand for converged services, the mobile sector is beginning to show signs of fatigue with periodic declines in subscriber numbers linked to the retirement of low-value or inactive accounts. Curiously, adoption of M2M services lags other equally advanced European markets, although growth now seems to be accelerating. In this environment, there are scant opportunities for new or risk-averse investors, although the potential for niche value-added services is far from played out.

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Key Data

* The wireline market is forecast to continue shrinking, from 2.120mn connections in 2013 to 1.677mn by 2018. This is despite continued interest in VoIP connections and the effects of mobile substitution,
* The wireline broadband market is growing steadily, driven by the increased availability of very high-speed accesses such as fibre, VDSL and DOCSIS 3.0 cable modems. Subscriptions are forecast to grow from 3.409mn in 2013 to 3.848mn in 2018.
* The mobile market has matured. There were 7.702mn subscriptions as of 2013, a figure we forecast to decline to 7.683mn by 2018. Underlying growth come from 3G/4G migration and the movement of customers from prepaid to contract plans.

Key Developments

In late-June 2014, the Danish Business Authority met with the country's mobile operators to discuss the auction of 1800MHz frequencies planned for 2016. Currently, TDC, Telia Denmark and Telenor Denmark own concessions for this band, but these will expire in June 2017. The regulator sought views on operators' spectrum requirements, the possibility of reserving some spectrum for femtocells and repeaters and the format of the auction.

In April 2014, Telia Denmark and Telenor Denmark completed the integration of their 3G networks as per the terms of their infrastructure sharing...

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