New Market Report Now Available: Uganda Telecommunications Report Q3 2014

From: Fast Market Research, Inc.
Published: Tue Jun 17 2014

There remains considerable growth opportunity in Uganda's mobile market, which BMI estimates reached a penetration rate of just 47 % in 2013. However, a large proportion of potential subscription growth lies in rural areas where more than 80% of the population lived in 2013, according to BMI data. Reaching these subscribers will require significant investment in network expansion to regions which inevitably engender high operational costs, due to difficulty accessing power and poor infrastructure.

Market ARPU in Uganda has been below USD4 since 2011, dragging on operators' revenue and profit growth, thus limiting their ability to reinvest in network upgrades and expansion. BMI believes consolidation would help mitigate further price erosion in the market and enable larger operators to reach greater operational efficiencies and scale in the maintenance and expansion of their networks.

Key Data

* Revised mobile market growth estimated at 8.8% for 2013. We forecast robust growth in 2014 and beyond on the back of growing competition between operators.

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* ARPUs estimated to have risen marginally in 2013, but remain very low, at UGX7,731 (USD3.10).

* Fixed-line subscriptions fell sharply in 2013 following a contraction of 36.5%.

Risk/Reward Rating

Uganda remained in 14th position in BMI's latest RRR table with an aggregate score of 41.2 out of 100, marginally down from 41.3 in the previous quarter. Uganda continues to outperform many of its peers in the country risks category, which reflects a positive real private consumption growth outlook during our five-year forecast period to 2018. Uganda also scored above average in the Industry Rewards category, as a penetration rate below 50% means its mobile market is likely to continue rapid growth throughout the whole of our forecast period.

Key Trends And Developments

In May 2014, Orange agreed to sell its Ugandan unit to Africell for an undisclosed amount. Smart Telecom also launched...

The Uganda Telecommunications Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent industry forecasts on the future strength of Uganda's ICT market, covering the fixed-line, mobile and internet segments and analyses latest regulatory developments and corporate news, including investment activity, mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures and partnerships. Leading operators and manufacturers are fully profiled, highlighting their quarterly financial performance, capital expenditure plans and latest contracts.

BMI's Uganda Telecommunications Report provides industry professionals and researchers, operators, equipment suppliers and vendors, corporate and financial services analysts and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the telecoms industry in Uganda.

Key Benefits

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